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Capital One beats estimates, but deal payoff remains the main issue

Capital One’s second-quarter results topped Wall Street estimates as card-fee revenue rose, while investors still wait for bigger cost benefits from Discover.

Jordan Bell

By Jordan Bell · Startups & Deals Reporter

· 3 min read

Capital One beats estimates, but deal payoff remains the main issue
Photo: CNBC

Capital One Financial beat Wall Street’s second-quarter revenue and profit estimates, giving investors a cleaner read on consumer credit and card spending. The harder issue for the stock is timing: CNBC reported that investors are still waiting for the Discover and Brex deals to show fuller cost benefits.

For the quarter ended June 30, Capital One reported revenue of $15.85 billion, up 27% from a year earlier and above the $15.77 billion consensus estimate from analysts surveyed by LSEG. Adjusted earnings per share, which is profit spread across each share after certain items are excluded, rose 6% to $5.81, also ahead of LSEG’s $4.75 estimate.

Capital One shares were little changed in after-hours trading at about $206, according to CNBC. The stock was down roughly 15% for 2026, though it had rebounded 18% since touching a 52-week low of $174 on June 11, CNBC reported.

Card fees helped drive the revenue beat

The strongest part of the quarter came from non-interest income, meaning revenue that does not come from lending spreads. That category rose 39% from a year earlier and about 13% from the prior quarter, CNBC reported.

A key piece was net discount and interchange fees, which increased 15% sequentially to $2.26 billion. Interchange fees are charges tied to card transactions. Because Capital One now owns the Discover payment network, it can keep more of the economics from some card payments instead of depending only on outside networks, according to CNBC’s analysis.

Net interest income, the money a bank earns from loans after paying for deposits and other funding, was $12.37 billion. CNBC reported that figure was slightly below Wall Street expectations even though it rose about 24% from a year earlier.

Expenses are still climbing

Capital One’s expense line remains a central concern. Non-interest expenses rose 29% year over year to $9 billion, according to CNBC. Marketing expenses increased 23% to $1.66 billion, below the $1.7 billion estimate from FactSet.

CNBC said Capital One uses marketing and media spending to bring in new domestic credit card and checking customers. Operating expenses also rose, and CNBC said the increase may partly reflect the inclusion of Brex, the fintech company Capital One bought in April for more than $5 billion. Brex provides corporate cards, expense management software and cash management tools for businesses.

The company repurchased 14 million shares for $2.7 billion during the quarter, CNBC reported, up from $2.5 billion in the first quarter. Capital One had about $9 billion left under its share repurchase authorization.

Investors are watching integration timing

The Discover acquisition has already delivered the full run-rate debit revenue synergy, CNBC reported, which shows up in the stronger discount and interchange fee line. A run-rate synergy is the expected annual benefit once a deal is fully reflected in the business.

Cost savings are taking longer. CNBC reported that Capital One has realized about one-third of expected run-rate operating expense synergies, and management said it remains on track to achieve the rest in the second half of 2027.

Credit trends were a brighter part of the quarter. Provisions for credit losses, money set aside for possible loan defaults, were $2.98 billion, below the roughly $4 billion consensus estimate cited by CNBC. The company also recorded an allowance release of about $660 million, mainly in domestic cards, which helped reported earnings.

The domestic card charge-off rate was 4.71%, down from 5.1% in the first quarter and 5.25% a year earlier, according to CNBC. Net charge-offs are loans written off as uncollectible after recoveries. Consumer banking net charge-offs were 1.48%, while commercial banking net charge-offs were 0.53%.

This story draws on original reporting from CNBC.

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