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China AI investor risks persist despite technology gains, CNBC says

CNBC says China’s AI advances may lift selected stocks, while opaque policy actions and limited access still deter broader foreign investment.

Dev Ramirez

By Dev Ramirez · Crypto Correspondent

· 3 min read

China AI investor risks persist despite technology gains, CNBC says
Photo: CNBC

China AI investor risks remain a central issue for overseas shareholders even as the country’s technology companies produce attention-grabbing advances, CNBC argued in its Aug. 3 China Connection newsletter. The distinction matters for individual investors: a promising AI release can move a particular stock, while policy uncertainty can still shape the risk of owning the broader market.

CNBC said China’s latest AI gains have not translated into market-wide returns strong enough to bring in foreign money at scale. The newsletter identified an older concern behind that gap: policy or regulatory decisions disclosed unexpectedly or with limited explanation.

The immediate example was an anti-corruption investigation into Fang Xinghai, a former vice chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission. CNBC said the announcement contained little detail. Fang was unusually familiar to Wall Street investors because of his role at the regulator, the report said.

Why do China AI investor risks extend beyond technology?

Liqian Ren, a quantitative manager at U.S.-based fund manager WisdomTree, told CNBC that quantitative trading is not the main driver of China’s market volatility. Instead, she pointed to policy information that investors may not expect. In plain terms, investors can struggle to price a stock when a regulatory action arrives without the warning or detail they believe they need to judge its potential effect.

CNBC cited several examples of abrupt moves affecting listed companies. Trip.com shares fell nearly 20% in a single day in January after Chinese authorities said they were investigating the travel company for alleged monopolistic practices. On May 22, Futu fell more than 27% and UP Fintech dropped more than 25%, CNBC said, after a renewed crackdown on services that allowed mainland residents to trade overseas equities.

The newsletter also pointed to Didi, which faced a cybersecurity investigation and app suspension in China days after its June 2021 U.S. initial public offering. CNBC said its shares then endured a months-long decline before the company delisted.

Those episodes do not mean every policy announcement produces the same result. But they illustrate why a company’s AI progress and the rules around its business can be separate variables for shareholders.

AI gains have boosted selected Chinese stocks

Ren told CNBC that Chinese stocks rose after the release of DeepSeek R1 early last year and again after Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 launch in mid-July. She said additional favorable AI news could offset some investor concern about regulations or abrupt rule changes.

BlackRock Investment Institute has maintained a neutral stance on Chinese stocks, according to CNBC, and views AI opportunities there as stock-specific rather than a broad regional call. CNBC also said Chinese equities overall have not produced returns that exceed U.S. stocks and bonds enough to persuade substantial foreign capital to accept the cited risks.

Access is another constraint. State-backed memory-chip company CXMT listed in Shanghai, which CNBC said made direct investment difficult for most foreign investors, even after shares rose nearly 470% in their debut. MSCI said it would add CXMT to the MSCI China All Shares Index on Aug. 10. That could give funds tracking the benchmark exposure to the company, illustrating how index funds can hold stocks that many investors cannot readily buy on their own.

This story draws on original reporting from CNBC.

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