Stocks

Lisa Cook rate hike stance hardens if inflation fails to cool

Fed Governor Lisa Cook said she could support a rate hike if inflation does not cool, while stressing no decision has been made.

Jordan Bell

By Jordan Bell · Startups & Deals Reporter

· 3 min read

Lisa Cook rate hike stance hardens if inflation fails to cool
Photo: CNBC

Lisa Cook rate hike comments on Wednesday added to the Federal Reserve’s debate over persistent inflation, but they did not amount to a new policy decision. The Fed governor said she would support raising the central bank’s short-term rate target if inflation does not start to cool, a conditional position that matters for households and investors following borrowing costs and the economic outlook.

“Inflation is too high,” Cook said in prepared remarks for an Anchorage, Alaska, event, according to Reuters. She said the risks surrounding inflation now exceed those tied to the Fed’s employment goal, and that she was prepared to raise rates if necessary.

Cook also left open the possibility that a hike will not be needed. Her message was that the decision depends on incoming evidence of disinflation, meaning a slowing pace of price increases, rather than on a preset timetable.

Did Lisa Cook announce a Fed rate hike?

No. Cook expressed her own conditional policy view, not an action by the full Federal Open Market Committee. The FOMC’s latest decision, on July 29, was to keep its federal-funds target range unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75%.

The official FOMC statement said the decision passed 9-3. Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari and Lorie Logan dissented because they preferred a quarter-percentage-point increase. Cook was among the officials who supported holding rates steady, Reuters reported.

That context is central to reading her remarks. Cook said she backed the July hold while policymakers assessed how inflation developed and whether pressures tied to tariffs, the Middle East conflict and artificial-intelligence investment might ease. She now says the Fed cannot wait indefinitely if inflation fails to cool.

Why Cook is focused on inflation

Cook warned that prolonged above-target inflation can become built into the prices companies set and the wages workers seek. In that case, inflation can become more persistent and more difficult for the Fed to bring down, she said.

The Fed’s July statement said inflation remained elevated relative to its 2% goal, partly because supply shocks had lifted prices in areas including energy. It also said economic activity was expanding at a solid pace, job gains had kept pace with the workforce, and the unemployment rate had changed little.

Cook had already signaled concern on July 15, though her posture then was more patient. In an official speech, she said softer inflation reports still implied that the price index targeted by the Fed had risen 3.7% over the 12 months through June, or 1.7 percentage points above the 2% objective. She also described the 3.5% to 3.75% policy range as mildly restrictive and said officials could take more time to assess the data.

Her Aug. 5 remarks narrow that wait-and-see approach: she has not committed to a rate hike, but she has made clear that continued inflation progress is the condition she wants to see before remaining on hold.

This story draws on original reporting from CNBC.

More from Stocks

All Stocks