Otis service business recovery hinges on retention and margins
Otis is adding $50 million to service operations after retention weakened, putting its defensive-stock case to a practical test.
By Theo Nakamura · Staff Writer
· 3 min read
Otis is putting an additional $50 million into its service operation in 2026 after customer renewals weakened, and the company says it has not yet seen a significant improvement in retention. For investors following the Otis service business recovery, that is the central test of whether a traditionally steady industrial company can restore confidence after cutting its annual profit outlook.
Service sales rose 11% from a year earlier in Otis’s latest quarter, CNBC reported. Yet CEO and Chair Judy Marks said the company had not recorded a meaningful retention improvement. Retention is the share of customers that renew their service contracts, making it a useful measure of the durability of Otis’s recurring revenue.
Why is Otis service more important than new elevator sales?
Otis earns most of its profit after an elevator is installed. The service work includes maintenance and repairs, followed eventually by modernization, which generally occurs after roughly 20 years and may require replacing some or all components.
Marks said service generates more than 90% of Otis’s profits. By comparison, the operating profit margin on new equipment was 4.8% in 2025, according to CNBC. A profit margin measures the portion of revenue left after operating costs, so the difference helps explain why contract renewals matter far more to Otis’s investment case than equipment sales alone.
The company services about 2.5 million elevators around the world, up from more than 2 million in 2020, and operates in more than 200 countries. Otis reported more than $14 billion in 2025 revenue, CNBC said.
What went wrong with Otis’s service operation?
The company’s service margin reached 25.5% at the end of 2025 but fell 250 basis points, or 2.5 percentage points, in the first quarter of 2026, CNBC reported. Otis’s customer-retention rate was already declining as it entered 2025.
Robert Wertheimer, a global machinery analyst at Melius Research, told CNBC that Otis had suffered a setback in service while investors were directing money toward artificial-intelligence-related stocks. He said Otis’s actions include hiring more people and increasing its focus on maintenance. In his view, better maintenance could mean fewer outages and ultimately better renewals, but that remains an expectation rather than a reported result.
Otis shares were down about 15% for the year as of Aug. 8, lagging both the broader market and industrial stocks, according to CNBC.
What should investors watch next?
- Whether the retention rate starts to improve after the added service spending.
- Whether service margins recover from the first-quarter decline.
- Whether added maintenance staffing reduces outages, as Wertheimer expects.
- Whether Otis can stabilize or improve its annual profit outlook after the cut.
Otis’s long-term case rests on a large installed base that needs ongoing attention. Its near-term challenge is showing, with renewals and margins, that the service engine is working as intended again.
This story draws on original reporting from CNBC.